Ajax vs Feyenoord analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.8%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.2%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.5%
13.7%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2009 |
FCD
1 - 2
AJA
15%
20%
66%
|
89 | 68 | 21 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
AZA
2 - 4
AJA
26%
24%
51%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2009 |
AJA
2 - 1
DZG
60%
21%
19%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
AJA
4 - 0
WIL
84%
11%
5%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
RJC
2 - 2
AJA
14%
19%
67%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Feyenoord
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2009 |
FEY
2 - 0
BOS
70%
18%
12%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
FEY
1 - 0
VVV
59%
22%
19%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
SPA
2 - 1
FEY
24%
24%
52%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
FEY
3 - 0
RKC
64%
21%
16%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
NAC
0 - 2
FEY
40%
25%
35%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |