Ajax vs Feyenoord analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.5%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.1%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.6%
13.8%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
VIT
4 - 1
AJA
14%
20%
66%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2009 |
AJA
2 - 2
HER
77%
15%
8%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2009 |
AJA
0 - 1
SCH
66%
19%
15%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
GRO
1 - 0
AJA
18%
21%
61%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2009 |
NEC
2 - 4
AJA
19%
22%
58%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Feyenoord
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
FEY
0 - 0
GRO
51%
24%
25%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2009 |
FEY
1 - 0
SPA
64%
20%
16%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2009 |
NEC
1 - 0
FEY
40%
26%
34%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2009 |
FEY
1 - 1
WIL
71%
19%
10%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2009 |
FEY
0 - 3
SCH
49%
23%
28%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |