Ajax vs Feyenoord analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.9%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
10%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.6%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.3%
9.9%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 1991 |
VOL
1 - 4
AJA
20%
27%
54%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1991 |
AJA
1 - 0
OSA
74%
17%
8%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1991 |
AJA
0 - 2
VIT
81%
12%
7%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1991 |
OSA
0 - 1
AJA
30%
29%
41%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1991 |
TWE
0 - 0
AJA
23%
27%
50%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Feyenoord
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 1991 |
FEY
2 - 0
SPA
58%
23%
19%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1991 |
TWE
1 - 2
FEY
45%
28%
27%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1991 |
FOR
0 - 1
FEY
29%
30%
41%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1991 |
FEY
2 - 0
AJA
25%
27%
48%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 1991 |
FEY
0 - 0
UTR
58%
24%
17%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |