Ajax vs Feyenoord analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.1%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.9%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.3%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.4%
18.6%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 1981 |
WIL
1 - 7
AJA
16%
22%
62%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 1981 |
AJA
1 - 0
UTR
85%
10%
5%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 May. 1981 |
WIL
1 - 3
AJA
17%
23%
60%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1981 |
AJA
4 - 1
FEY
64%
19%
17%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1981 |
TWE
3 - 0
AJA
51%
23%
26%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Feyenoord
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 1981 |
FEY
2 - 1
ADO
82%
12%
6%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 1981 |
TWE
3 - 7
FEY
53%
23%
24%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 May. 1981 |
FEY
4 - 2
MVV
81%
13%
7%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1981 |
AJA
4 - 1
FEY
64%
19%
17%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1981 |
FEY
1 - 1
NEC
84%
11%
5%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |