Ajax vs Feyenoord analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.7%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
19%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19%
17.2%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 1981 |
TWE
3 - 0
AJA
51%
23%
26%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1981 |
AJA
4 - 1
NAC
89%
8%
3%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1981 |
AJA
6 - 1
MVV
88%
8%
4%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1981 |
AJA
2 - 1
SPA
87%
9%
4%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1981 |
NEC
0 - 0
AJA
14%
22%
64%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Feyenoord
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 1981 |
FEY
1 - 1
NEC
84%
11%
5%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1981 |
ZWO
2 - 2
FEY
18%
22%
60%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1981 |
FEY
1 - 5
AZA
50%
23%
26%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1981 |
ADO
1 - 0
FEY
20%
25%
55%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1981 |
FEY
2 - 0
DTB
84%
10%
5%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |