Ajax vs Feyenoord analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.4%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.9%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.2%
19.4%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 1973 |
NEC
0 - 4
AJA
18%
27%
54%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1973 |
AJA
3 - 1
PSV
81%
12%
7%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1973 |
GAE
0 - 1
AJA
22%
27%
51%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1973 |
AJA
3 - 2
GLA
87%
8%
5%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 1973 |
AJA
2 - 1
AMS
90%
6%
4%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Feyenoord
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 1973 |
NAC
0 - 5
FEY
15%
23%
62%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1973 |
FEY
5 - 1
GRO
84%
11%
5%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1973 |
FEY
2 - 1
UTR
80%
12%
8%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1973 |
NEC
2 - 3
FEY
16%
25%
59%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1973 |
PSV
0 - 1
FEY
29%
26%
45%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |