Ajax vs Feyenoord analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.9%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.6%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.1%
17%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 1970 |
VVD
1 - 7
AJA
22%
23%
54%
|
88 | 62 | 26 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1970 |
AJA
1 - 0
ARS
76%
15%
10%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1970 |
ARS
3 - 0
AJA
48%
23%
29%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 1970 |
AJA
3 - 0
TWE
84%
11%
5%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 1970 |
PSV
1 - 3
AJA
32%
25%
43%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Feyenoord
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 1970 |
FEY
0 - 0
NEC
84%
10%
5%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1970 |
FEY
2 - 0
WAR
76%
15%
9%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1970 |
SPA
0 - 0
FEY
27%
27%
47%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1970 |
WAR
0 - 0
FEY
33%
24%
43%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1970 |
FEY
0 - 0
GAE
77%
16%
8%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |