Ajax vs PEC Zwolle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.9%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.8%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.2%
9%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2016 |
AJA
5 - 0
WIL
73%
18%
9%
|
86 | 70 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
HER
0 - 2
AJA
25%
24%
51%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2016 |
PAN
1 - 2
AJA
41%
25%
34%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
AJA
1 - 0
VIT
64%
20%
16%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
GAE
0 - 3
AJA
14%
22%
63%
|
85 | 66 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
PEC Zwolle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2016 |
DVS
1 - 4
ZWO
14%
19%
68%
|
73 | 51 | 22 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
ZWO
0 - 2
AZA
29%
24%
48%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
ZWO
1 - 1
UTR
37%
25%
38%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
SCH
1 - 0
ZWO
52%
24%
24%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
ZWO
0 - 4
PSV
21%
21%
57%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | -1 |