Ajax vs PEC Zwolle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.2%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
15.6%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
PSV
0 - 2
AJA
44%
25%
32%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
AJA
2 - 2
NEC
67%
20%
13%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
WIL
0 - 4
AJA
26%
25%
49%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
AJA
4 - 1
AZA
53%
23%
24%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
AJA
3 - 0
EXC
75%
17%
8%
|
85 | 67 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
PEC Zwolle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
ZWO
4 - 1
WIL
54%
24%
23%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
TWE
2 - 1
ZWO
46%
25%
28%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
ZWO
2 - 1
GRA
75%
16%
9%
|
75 | 60 | 15 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
BVO
1 - 0
ZWO
28%
27%
46%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2016 |
ADO
0 - 2
ZWO
42%
26%
31%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | +1 |