Ajax vs Utrecht analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.7%
Win probability
2.62
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.5%
4-0
6%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.3%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.7%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
15.1%
10.2%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2019 |
CHL
4 - 4
AJA
40%
24%
36%
|
90 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2019 |
ZWO
2 - 4
AJA
8%
15%
77%
|
90 | 70 | 20 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
AJA
4 - 0
FEY
71%
17%
13%
|
90 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2019 |
AJA
0 - 1
CHL
54%
22%
24%
|
90 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
RKC
1 - 2
AJA
5%
13%
82%
|
90 | 59 | 31 | 0 |
Matches
Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
UTR
6 - 0
FOR
62%
21%
17%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2019 |
EXC
1 - 4
UTR
5%
11%
85%
|
81 | 48 | 33 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
SPA
1 - 2
UTR
20%
21%
58%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
UTR
3 - 0
PSV
12%
18%
69%
|
80 | 89 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
VIT
2 - 1
UTR
46%
23%
31%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | +1 |