Ajax vs Utrecht analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
89%
Win probability
3.6
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.5%
8-0
1%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.3%
7-0
2.2%
8-1
0.7%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.9%
6-0
4.2%
7-1
1.5%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.9%
5-0
7%
6-1
2.8%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
<0%
+5
10.4%
4-0
9.8%
5-1
4.7%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
15.6%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
6.6%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.2%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
5%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.1%
7.4%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
3.4%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
7.4%
3.4%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
0.9%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
2.6%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
2-5
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 1984 |
EXC
1 - 1
AJA
17%
21%
62%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1983 |
AJA
4 - 0
SPA
88%
8%
4%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1983 |
FCD
1 - 2
AJA
7%
13%
80%
|
88 | 62 | 26 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1983 |
AJA
5 - 2
RJC
88%
8%
4%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1983 |
PSV
1 - 0
AJA
48%
23%
29%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 1983 |
UTR
0 - 2
FEY
29%
24%
48%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1983 |
UTR
3 - 2
GRO
62%
20%
18%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 1983 |
HFC
5 - 1
UTR
53%
25%
22%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 1983 |
FOR
2 - 0
UTR
41%
28%
31%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 1983 |
UTR
6 - 4
HEL
78%
14%
8%
|
76 | 57 | 19 | +1 |