Ajax vs Twente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.5%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
21.4%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
GAE
1 - 2
AJA
21%
23%
57%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2015 |
AJA
0 - 1
AZA
57%
23%
20%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
VIT
1 - 0
AJA
28%
24%
49%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
AJA
0 - 0
FEY
57%
22%
21%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2015 |
AJA
2 - 0
GRO
57%
22%
21%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Twente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
TWE
1 - 3
EXC
62%
22%
17%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2015 |
ADO
2 - 0
TWE
25%
25%
51%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
TWE
2 - 1
BVO
60%
23%
18%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2015 |
TWE
3 - 0
AZA
47%
25%
28%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2015 |
TWE
2 - 0
HER
63%
21%
16%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |