Ajax vs Twente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.4%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.8%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.7%
12.9%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 1997 |
AJA
2 - 1
SCH
73%
16%
11%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1997 |
GRO
1 - 1
AJA
24%
24%
52%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1997 |
SPA
2 - 1
AJA
24%
24%
52%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1997 |
JUV
4 - 1
AJA
61%
22%
17%
|
88 | 92 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1997 |
AJA
5 - 0
NEC
88%
10%
3%
|
88 | 63 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Twente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 1997 |
FEY
1 - 1
TWE
64%
20%
17%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1997 |
TWE
2 - 1
FOR
72%
18%
10%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1997 |
VIT
4 - 2
TWE
48%
24%
28%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 1997 |
TWE
0 - 1
GRO
68%
20%
13%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1997 |
RKC
3 - 2
TWE
22%
24%
54%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |