Ajax vs Twente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.7%
Win probability
2.6
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.1%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.9%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
13.9%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.9%
7.3%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 1989 |
SPA
3 - 2
AJA
19%
24%
57%
|
87 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1989 |
AJA
0 - 0
ZWO
85%
10%
5%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 1989 |
AJA
2 - 0
FOR
82%
12%
6%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 1989 |
BVV
0 - 1
AJA
9%
15%
76%
|
87 | 64 | 23 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1988 |
WIL
2 - 5
AJA
19%
23%
58%
|
87 | 66 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Twente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 1989 |
TWE
3 - 0
BVV
70%
19%
11%
|
78 | 62 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1989 |
WIL
0 - 0
TWE
43%
27%
31%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1989 |
TWE
0 - 1
BOS
62%
21%
16%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1989 |
VVV
1 - 1
TWE
41%
27%
33%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1988 |
VOL
1 - 1
TWE
46%
25%
29%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |