Ajax vs Twente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.6%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.9%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.7%
16.7%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 1980 |
AJA
4 - 0
STR
81%
13%
6%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1980 |
RJC
2 - 1
AJA
28%
26%
46%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1980 |
AJA
1 - 1
FEY
63%
20%
18%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1980 |
STR
0 - 0
AJA
32%
26%
43%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 1980 |
UTR
1 - 2
AJA
25%
25%
50%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Twente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 1980 |
TWE
2 - 1
EXC
79%
14%
7%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1980 |
SPA
1 - 0
TWE
24%
27%
50%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1980 |
TWE
2 - 0
ADO
76%
16%
8%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1980 |
MVV
1 - 0
TWE
21%
26%
53%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1980 |
TWE
1 - 0
ZWO
80%
13%
7%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |