Ajax vs Groningen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.7%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.9%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
18%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18%
11.3%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2007 |
SLP
2 - 1
AJA
29%
24%
47%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2007 |
AJA
4 - 1
SCH
67%
20%
14%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2007 |
GRA
1 - 8
AJA
20%
22%
59%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2007 |
AJA
0 - 1
SLP
67%
20%
13%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2007 |
AJA
1 - 0
PSV
48%
23%
29%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Groningen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2007 |
GRO
0 - 2
GRA
54%
24%
23%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2007 |
NAC
0 - 3
GRO
40%
26%
34%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2007 |
GRO
2 - 1
UTR
54%
24%
23%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2007 |
UTR
0 - 2
GRO
45%
25%
30%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2007 |
FEY
1 - 1
GRO
69%
18%
13%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |