Ajax vs Groningen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.6%
Win probability
2.6
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.6%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.4%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.9%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
7%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.9%
9.4%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+43%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2000 |
AJA
0 - 0
NEC
85%
11%
4%
|
87 | 64 | 23 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2000 |
SPA
3 - 0
AJA
16%
20%
65%
|
87 | 62 | 25 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2000 |
AJA
5 - 0
FOR
78%
14%
8%
|
87 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2000 |
UTR
3 - 1
AJA
23%
24%
53%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2000 |
AJA
1 - 0
MVV
88%
9%
3%
|
88 | 59 | 29 | 0 |
Matches
Groningen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2000 |
GRO
1 - 0
GRA
69%
18%
13%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2000 |
NAC
5 - 1
GRO
49%
25%
26%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2000 |
GRO
4 - 4
NEC
73%
17%
10%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2000 |
GRO
1 - 1
WIL
53%
23%
24%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2000 |
HFC
2 - 4
GRO
27%
27%
47%
|
74 | 52 | 22 | -1 |