Ajax vs Groningen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.6%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.6%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
15%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.1%
11.4%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 1965 |
AJA
0 - 0
VVD
73%
15%
11%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1965 |
TEL
0 - 0
AJA
24%
21%
56%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1965 |
AJA
1 - 0
SIT
80%
13%
8%
|
81 | 63 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1965 |
HER
1 - 0
AJA
33%
21%
46%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1965 |
AJA
3 - 0
NAC
65%
18%
17%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Groningen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 1965 |
GRO
1 - 1
TEL
60%
21%
19%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1965 |
SIT
4 - 2
GRO
39%
25%
36%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 1965 |
GRO
0 - 0
HER
52%
23%
25%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1965 |
NAC
1 - 0
GRO
51%
25%
24%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1965 |
GRO
1 - 2
SPA
52%
23%
24%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | -1 |