Ajax vs Groningen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.3%
Win probability
2.67
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.5%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.1%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.3%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.4%
11.3%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 1962 |
NAC
2 - 0
AJA
30%
23%
47%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1962 |
AJA
1 - 0
ADO
74%
15%
12%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1962 |
VOL
4 - 5
AJA
23%
20%
57%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1962 |
FEY
1 - 1
AJA
71%
15%
14%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1962 |
AJA
1 - 0
HER
79%
12%
9%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Groningen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 1962 |
GRO
2 - 1
HER
51%
23%
26%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1962 |
FOR
2 - 1
GRO
59%
21%
21%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 1962 |
GRO
1 - 1
PSV
30%
23%
47%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 1962 |
WIL
3 - 0
GRO
59%
21%
20%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 1962 |
GRO
3 - 1
VVD
39%
24%
37%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | +1 |