Champions League Last 16
Global 2-3
Ajax vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.7%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
22%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
27.3%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2022 |
BVO
2 - 3
AJA
16%
20%
64%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
AJA
3 - 2
RKC
82%
12%
6%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2022 |
AZA
0 - 2
AJA
34%
25%
41%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2022 |
GAE
2 - 1
AJA
11%
18%
71%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2022 |
SLB
2 - 2
AJA
46%
23%
31%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2022 |
SLB
1 - 1
VIZ
77%
15%
8%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
POR
1 - 2
SLB
10%
17%
73%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2022 |
SLB
3 - 0
VIT
76%
16%
8%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2022 |
SLB
2 - 2
AJA
46%
23%
31%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2022 |
BOA
2 - 2
SLB
10%
18%
72%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | +1 |