Champions League Last 16
Global 3-6
Ajax vs Bayern München analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.1%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
22.5%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.6%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 1980 |
AJA
2 - 0
NEC
89%
8%
3%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1980 |
ZWO
2 - 0
AJA
16%
19%
65%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1980 |
BYM
5 - 1
AJA
63%
20%
18%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1980 |
AJA
1 - 2
AZA
66%
18%
16%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1980 |
ADO
4 - 3
AJA
20%
24%
56%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Bayern München
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 1980 |
BYM
4 - 2
FCN
83%
11%
6%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1980 |
MSV
0 - 1
BYM
23%
25%
52%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1980 |
BYM
5 - 1
AJA
63%
20%
18%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1980 |
BYM
3 - 1
BOC
82%
12%
6%
|
89 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1980 |
MUN
1 - 3
BYM
23%
25%
52%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | 0 |