Ajax vs AZ Alkmaar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.9%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.3%
2-0
8%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
23.3%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2018 |
AJA
4 - 1
VVV
77%
15%
7%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
PSV
3 - 0
AJA
51%
23%
26%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
AJA
1 - 0
HER
72%
17%
11%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2018 |
GRO
1 - 2
AJA
18%
21%
61%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
SPA
2 - 5
AJA
13%
21%
66%
|
84 | 63 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
AZA
0 - 3
FEY
47%
23%
30%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2018 |
AZA
4 - 3
VIT
65%
20%
15%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2018 |
HER
0 - 3
AZA
21%
22%
57%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
AZA
2 - 3
PSV
27%
23%
50%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2018 |
ADO
0 - 3
AZA
18%
23%
59%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | +1 |