Ajax vs AZ Alkmaar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
82.5%
Win probability
2.87
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.5%
4-0
8.3%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
12%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.2%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
11.7%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.7%
5.8%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 1998 |
RJC
0 - 2
AJA
23%
24%
53%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1998 |
AJA
2 - 0
WIL
81%
13%
7%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 1998 |
AJA
0 - 2
PSV
54%
21%
25%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1998 |
AJA
1 - 2
UTR
84%
11%
5%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1998 |
GRA
1 - 8
AJA
21%
23%
56%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 1998 |
AZA
0 - 0
VIT
25%
25%
50%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1998 |
AZA
2 - 0
SPA
55%
23%
22%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | +1 |
| 09 May. 1998 |
AZA
1 - 1
ZWO
62%
21%
18%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1998 |
HFC
0 - 5
AZA
25%
26%
49%
|
71 | 51 | 20 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1998 |
ADO
1 - 1
AZA
46%
25%
30%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |