Ajax vs AZ Alkmaar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
86.3%
Win probability
3.71
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.5%
8-0
0.9%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
0.1%
+8
1.3%
7-0
1.9%
8-1
0.8%
9-2
0.2%
10-3
<0%
+7
2.8%
6-0
3.5%
7-1
1.7%
8-2
0.4%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.7%
5-0
5.7%
6-1
3.3%
7-2
0.8%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
9.9%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
5.3%
6-2
1.5%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
14.7%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
7.1%
5-2
2.4%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
18.3%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.5%
8.5%
Draw
0-0
1%
1-1
3.3%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
8.5%
5.1%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
0.9%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
3.6%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 1985 |
MVV
1 - 4
AJA
11%
20%
69%
|
88 | 62 | 26 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1985 |
AJA
3 - 0
EXC
93%
5%
2%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1985 |
AJA
9 - 0
SPA
89%
8%
4%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 1985 |
TWE
1 - 8
AJA
18%
23%
59%
|
87 | 70 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1985 |
AJA
2 - 0
NEC
94%
5%
2%
|
87 | 61 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 1985 |
AZA
1 - 1
FOR
58%
24%
19%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1985 |
BOS
0 - 0
AZA
41%
25%
34%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1985 |
HFC
2 - 3
AZA
47%
23%
30%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1985 |
FEY
3 - 4
AZA
70%
17%
13%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 1985 |
AZA
2 - 1
GAE
59%
23%
17%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |