Ajax vs ADO Den Haag analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.5%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.9%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.1%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.1%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
13.9%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
13.9%
6.7%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2018 |
AEK
0 - 2
AJA
34%
24%
42%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
NAC
0 - 3
AJA
9%
17%
75%
|
87 | 65 | 22 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
EXC
1 - 7
AJA
9%
17%
74%
|
86 | 64 | 22 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2018 |
SLB
1 - 1
AJA
37%
24%
39%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
AJA
2 - 0
WIL
78%
15%
8%
|
87 | 69 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
ADO Den Haag
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
ZWO
2 - 3
ADO
49%
24%
28%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
ADO
0 - 1
AZA
16%
21%
63%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
UTR
3 - 0
ADO
56%
23%
21%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | -2 |
| 01 Nov. 2018 |
FEY
5 - 1
ADO
65%
20%
15%
|
67 | 82 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
ADO
1 - 1
NAC
49%
25%
26%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | -1 |