South African First Division Round 3

Cape Town Spurs vs Polokwane City analysis

Cape Town Spurs Polokwane City
69 ELO 61
-2% Tilt 8%
2843º General ELO ranking 1943º
23º Country ELO ranking 15º
ELO win probability
57%
Cape Town Spurs
23.4%
Draw
19.5%
Polokwane City

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57%
Win probability
Cape Town Spurs
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
19.6%
Win probability
Polokwane City
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Cape Town Spurs
-13%
-23%
Polokwane City

ELO progression

Cape Town Spurs
Polokwane City
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Cape Town Spurs
Cape Town Spurs
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Sep. 2016
AJA
Cape Town Spurs
1 - 2
Orlando Pirates
PIR
38%
28%
34%
69 73 4 0
23 Aug. 2016
BAR
Baroka
1 - 1
Cape Town Spurs
AJA
30%
28%
43%
70 65 5 -1
21 May. 2016
AJA
Cape Town Spurs
1 - 0
Bidvest Wits
BID
37%
28%
35%
70 74 4 0
11 May. 2016
MAR
Durban City
1 - 0
Cape Town Spurs
AJA
36%
27%
38%
70 66 4 0
04 May. 2016
AJA
Cape Town Spurs
2 - 2
Jomo Cosmos
COS
62%
23%
15%
70 61 9 0

Matches

Polokwane City
Polokwane City
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Sep. 2016
POL
Polokwane City
0 - 0
Bidvest Wits
BID
25%
27%
48%
61 75 14 0
23 Aug. 2016
MPU
Cape Town City FC
2 - 0
Polokwane City
POL
57%
24%
19%
62 71 9 -1
21 May. 2016
BLO
Bloemfontein Celtic
1 - 1
Polokwane City
POL
55%
25%
20%
62 72 10 0
11 May. 2016
POL
Polokwane City
2 - 2
Pretoria University
PRE
43%
27%
30%
61 65 4 +1
08 May. 2016
SSU
SuperSport United
2 - 2
Polokwane City
POL
62%
22%
17%
61 72 11 0