Ligue 2 Round 19

Ajaccio vs Caen analysis

Ajaccio Caen
71 ELO 75
-19.8% Tilt -12.8%
1100º General ELO ranking 1115º
41º Country ELO ranking 42º
ELO win probability
24.7%
Ajaccio
26.5%
Draw
48.8%
Caen

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.7%
Win probability
Ajaccio
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.3%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
48.8%
Win probability
Caen
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.8%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Ajaccio
+10%
-16%
Caen

Points and table prediction

Ajaccio
Their league position
Caen
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
17º
12º
22
13º
18º
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
18º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Lorient
71
71
100%
Paris FC
69
69
100%
Metz
65
65
100%
USL Dunkerque
56
56
100%
Guingamp
55
55
100%
Annecy
51
51
100%
Stade Lavallois
50
50
100%
Bastia
48
48
100%
Grenoble
46
46
100%
Troyes
10º
44
44
10º
100%
Amiens SC
11º
43
43
11º
100%
Ajaccio
12º
42
42
12º
0%
Pau FC
13º
42
42
13º
0%
Rodez
14º
39
39
14º
100%
Red Star
15º
38
38
15º
100%
Clermont
16º
33
33
16º
100%
FC Martigues
17º
32
32
17º
100%
Caen
18º
22
22
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
Ajaccio
Caen
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 0%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 100%

ELO progression

Ajaccio
Caen
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Ajaccio
Ajaccio
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Jan. 2025
BAS
Bastia
4 - 0
Ajaccio
AJA
59%
25%
17%
71 78 7 0
03 Jan. 2025
AJA
Ajaccio
1 - 2
Annecy
ANN
22%
26%
51%
71 78 7 0
13 Dec. 2024
PAU
Pau FC
1 - 0
Ajaccio
AJA
56%
24%
19%
71 75 4 0
07 Dec. 2024
AJA
Ajaccio
0 - 2
Paris FC
PFC
21%
28%
51%
72 82 10 -1
03 Dec. 2024
AJA
Ajaccio
0 - 0
Bastia
BAS
25%
27%
48%
71 77 6 +1

Matches

Caen
Caen
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Jan. 2025
CAE
Caen
0 - 1
Grenoble
GRE
47%
27%
26%
76 75 1 0
03 Jan. 2025
CAE
Caen
0 - 1
Clermont
CLE
34%
28%
38%
76 81 5 0
22 Dec. 2024
GUI
Guingamp
2 - 1
Caen
CAE
48%
24%
29%
76 79 3 0
16 Dec. 2024
DUN
USL Dunkerque
3 - 1
Caen
CAE
38%
26%
36%
77 76 1 -1
06 Dec. 2024
STL
Stade Lavallois
1 - 0
Caen
CAE
40%
25%
35%
77 76 1 0