Ligue 2 Round 9

Ajaccio vs Bastia analysis

Ajaccio Bastia
65 ELO 64
-18.5% Tilt -13.7%
1370º General ELO ranking 710º
41º Country ELO ranking 25º
ELO win probability
32.7%
Ajaccio
28.1%
Draw
39.1%
Bastia

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.7%
Win probability
Ajaccio
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.1%
39.1%
Win probability
Bastia
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Ajaccio
+10%
+4%
Bastia

Points and table prediction

Ajaccio
Their league position
Bastia
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
46
17º
15º
50
16º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Auxerre
74
74
100%
Angers SCO
68
68
100%
Saint-Étienne
65
65
100%
Rodez
60
60
100%
Paris FC
59
59
100%
Caen
58
58
100%
Stade Lavallois
55
55
100%
Amiens SC
53
53
100%
Guingamp
51
51
0%
Pau FC
10º
51
51
10º
0%
Grenoble
11º
51
51
11º
0%
Girondins Bordeaux
12º
50
51
12º
0%
Bastia
13º
50
51
13º
0%
Annecy
14º
46
46
14º
0%
Ajaccio
15º
46
46
15º
100%
USL Dunkerque
16º
46
46
16º
0%
Troyes
17º
41
44
17º
100%
QRM
18º
38
38
18º
0%
Concarneau
19º
38
38
19º
0%
Valenciennes
20º
26
26
20º
100%
Expected probabilities
Ajaccio
Bastia
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Ajaccio
Bastia
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Ajaccio
Ajaccio
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Sep. 2023
AMI
Amiens SC
0 - 0
Ajaccio
AJA
42%
28%
30%
63 62 1 0
23 Sep. 2023
AJA
Ajaccio
2 - 1
Paris FC
PFC
31%
29%
40%
63 66 3 0
18 Sep. 2023
GUI
Guingamp
3 - 0
Ajaccio
AJA
52%
26%
22%
63 67 4 0
02 Sep. 2023
AJA
Ajaccio
2 - 2
USL Dunkerque
DUN
39%
29%
33%
64 62 2 -1
26 Aug. 2023
CAE
Caen
3 - 0
Ajaccio
AJA
52%
26%
22%
65 68 3 -1

Matches

Bastia
Bastia
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Sep. 2023
BAS
Bastia
1 - 4
Pau FC
PAU
49%
26%
25%
66 62 4 0
23 Sep. 2023
ANG
Angers SCO
2 - 0
Bastia
BAS
37%
27%
36%
66 64 2 0
16 Sep. 2023
BAS
Bastia
0 - 3
Stade Lavallois
STL
53%
26%
22%
67 62 5 -1
02 Sep. 2023
GRE
Grenoble
0 - 0
Bastia
BAS
28%
28%
44%
68 64 4 -1
26 Aug. 2023
BAS
Bastia
3 - 2
Troyes
TRO
39%
27%
33%
67 67 0 +1