Ajaccio vs Bastia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.8%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
30.5%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajaccio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2007 |
BRE
0 - 1
AJA
46%
28%
27%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2007 |
AJA
3 - 1
CLE
35%
27%
38%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2007 |
CHA
0 - 0
AJA
46%
27%
27%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2007 |
AJA
0 - 3
LHA
40%
28%
32%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2007 |
REI
0 - 0
AJA
39%
28%
33%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2007 |
BAS
4 - 0
USB
53%
26%
22%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2007 |
GUI
0 - 1
BAS
47%
26%
28%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2007 |
BAS
0 - 0
DIJ
45%
27%
28%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2007 |
NIO
1 - 3
BAS
41%
28%
31%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2007 |
BAS
0 - 0
GRE
47%
27%
26%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |