Airdrieonians vs Dunfermline Athletic FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.4%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
16.9%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
52
3º
7º
4º
45
3º
9º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
75 | 75 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
69 | 69 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 55 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
52 | 52 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
42 | 42 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 23 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Airdrieonians
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2024 |
RAI
1 - 3
AIR
54%
24%
22%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
AIR
3 - 1
GRE
57%
24%
20%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2024 |
ARB
1 - 2
AIR
18%
25%
58%
|
68 | 52 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
AYR
2 - 1
AIR
31%
27%
42%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
TNS
1 - 2
AIR
63%
18%
19%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Dunfermline Athletic FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
DUN
1 - 1
PAR
30%
26%
44%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
ARB
2 - 3
DUN
23%
27%
50%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
GRE
0 - 1
DUN
49%
27%
25%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2024 |
DUN
3 - 1
DUN
25%
28%
47%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
RAI
2 - 0
DUN
64%
21%
15%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |