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Welsh Premier League. PlayOff Título, Matchday 9

Airbus UK vs The New Saints analysis

Airbus UK The New Saints
37 ELO 45
77% Tilt 135%
2212º General ELO ranking 1043º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
33.4%
Airbus UK
18.5%
Draw
48.2%
The New Saints

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.4%
Win probability
Airbus UK
2.19
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
8-5
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
2%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
9.7%
1-0
1.8%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
2.3%
5-4
0.7%
6-5
0.1%
7-6
<0%
+1
15%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
0.8%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
4.3%
4-4
1.5%
5-5
0.3%
6-6
0.1%
0
18.5%
48.2%
Win probability
The New Saints
2.61
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
5.8%
3-4
2.8%
4-5
0.8%
5-6
0.2%
6-7
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
3.8%
3-5
1.5%
4-6
0.3%
5-7
0.1%
-2
13.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
2%
3-6
0.6%
4-7
0.1%
5-8
0%
-3
8.7%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.9%
3-7
0.2%
4-8
0%
-4
4.5%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0.1%
4-9
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Airbus UK
+50%
+121%
The New Saints

Points and table prediction

Airbus UK
Their league position
The New Saints
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
58
77
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
The New Saints
77
77
100%
Bala Town
59
59
100%
Airbus UK
58
58
100%
Aberystwyth Town
52
52
100%
Port Talbot Town
43
43
100%
Newtown
38
38
100%
Expected probabilities
Airbus UK
The New Saints
Mid-table
100% 100%

ELO progression

The New Saints
TNS
Airbus UK
AIR
Newtown
NEW
Bala Town
BAL
B36 Torshavn
B36
Differdange 03
DIF
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Airbus UK
Airbus UK
1%
X%
2%
ELO AIR ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Apr. 2015
POR
Port Talbot Town
1 - 0
Airbus UK
AIR
46%
27%
28%
526 474 -52 -3
29 Mar. 2015
ABE
Aberystwyth Town
1 - 3
Airbus UK
AIR
47%
27%
26%
526 533 7 +4
22 Mar. 2015
BAL
Bala Town
3 - 0
Airbus UK
AIR
45%
27%
28%
530 507 -23 -4
14 Mar. 2015
NEW
Newtown
0 - 2
Airbus UK
AIR
39%
28%
33%
527 325 -202 +3
01 Mar. 2015
TNS
The New Saints
2 - 0
Airbus UK
AIR
53%
25%
22%
528 760 232 -3

Matches

The New Saints
The New Saints
1%
X%
2%
ELO TNS ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Apr. 2015
TNS
The New Saints
3 - 3
Aberystwyth Town
ABE
51%
25%
24%
782 529 253 -1
27 Mar. 2015
TNS
The New Saints
4 - 2
Newtown
NEW
57%
23%
20%
773 322 451 +2
21 Mar. 2015
POR
Port Talbot Town
1 - 3
The New Saints
TNS
39%
27%
34%
770 481 -289 +3
14 Mar. 2015
TNS
The New Saints
3 - 0
Bala Town
BAL
51%
25%
24%
767 511 256 +3
01 Mar. 2015
TNS
The New Saints
2 - 0
Airbus UK
AIR
53%
25%
22%
760 528 232 +3