CD Águila vs Juventud Independiente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.3%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
21.9%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Águila
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
ATL
1 - 1
AGU
32%
28%
40%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2015 |
AGU
1 - 1
FAS
45%
27%
28%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
SAN
2 - 1
AGU
51%
25%
24%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
AGU
2 - 2
CHA
46%
27%
27%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2015 |
AGU
2 - 2
PAS
49%
27%
24%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Juventud Independiente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
JUV
3 - 2
PAS
45%
26%
29%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
ALI
2 - 0
JUV
52%
26%
23%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
JUV
1 - 0
MET
29%
26%
46%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
UES
1 - 1
JUV
37%
26%
37%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2015 |
JUV
2 - 0
SFC
50%
23%
28%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | +1 |