Águias do Moradal vs Naval analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.5%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.3%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.1%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
46.2%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14%
0-3
4%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Águias do Moradal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
CRA
1 - 2
ADM
26%
21%
53%
|
32 | 23 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
ADM
0 - 2
PEN
67%
18%
16%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
ALC
4 - 3
ADM
62%
21%
17%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
ADM
1 - 2
SAL
7%
13%
80%
|
33 | 69 | 36 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
ADM
2 - 2
SER
20%
23%
58%
|
33 | 51 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Naval
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
NAV
2 - 0
BEN
24%
26%
50%
|
41 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
NAV
1 - 7
PAÇ
7%
17%
76%
|
41 | 80 | 39 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
UDL
0 - 0
NAV
67%
21%
12%
|
41 | 54 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
NAV
1 - 1
CAL
26%
26%
49%
|
40 | 50 | 10 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
VIA
1 - 2
NAV
28%
23%
49%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | +1 |