Águia CD vs SC Guadalupe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.3%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
5%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.1%
21%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
62.7%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
11%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.2%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.2%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Águia CD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
PRA
1 - 1
AGU
81%
13%
6%
|
10 | 23 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
SC Guadalupe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
SCG
1 - 0
PRA
13%
20%
68%
|
17 | 44 | 27 | 0 |