Série C . Quarter-finals
Global 1-4
ASA Arapiraquense vs Tupi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.1%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
25.6%
20.3%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ASA Arapiraquense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
TUP
2 - 0
ASA
30%
27%
43%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2015 |
ASA
1 - 0
VIL
45%
26%
29%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
ICA
1 - 3
ASA
27%
26%
47%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
ASA
1 - 0
SAL
56%
25%
20%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2015 |
ASA
1 - 0
AGU
66%
21%
13%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Tupi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
TUP
2 - 0
ASA
30%
27%
43%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
TUP
0 - 2
BRA
45%
28%
27%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | -2 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
LON
3 - 0
TUP
46%
29%
26%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
JUV
2 - 0
TUP
47%
27%
26%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
TUP
2 - 0
CAX
65%
22%
14%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | 0 |