ASA Arapiraquense vs SD Juazeirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.9%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
59.8%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.7%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.5%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.7%
0-4
3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ASA Arapiraquense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2021 |
ASA
4 - 2
MUR
56%
22%
22%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2021 |
ITA
4 - 1
ASA
50%
26%
25%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | -2 |
| 08 Aug. 2021 |
SER
2 - 0
ASA
57%
24%
19%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Aug. 2021 |
ASA
0 - 1
RFC
35%
25%
40%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Jul. 2021 |
BAH
1 - 0
ASA
55%
24%
21%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
SD Juazeirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
SDJ
2 - 1
BAH
58%
25%
18%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
ALA
3 - 3
SDJ
21%
25%
54%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2021 |
SDJ
1 - 0
RFC
53%
26%
21%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2021 |
SDJ
2 - 0
SAN
8%
19%
74%
|
51 | 82 | 31 | +2 |
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
SDJ
0 - 0
SER
55%
25%
20%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | -1 |