ASA Arapiraquense vs CSA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.5%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.1%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.2%
9.3%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
-31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ASA Arapiraquense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
ASA
1 - 1
CSA
73%
18%
9%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2015 |
CSA
0 - 0
ASA
29%
25%
47%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
ASA
2 - 0
MUR
70%
18%
11%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
MUR
0 - 2
ASA
24%
25%
51%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2015 |
SAO
1 - 3
ASA
16%
22%
63%
|
56 | 26 | 30 | 0 |
Matches
CSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
ASA
1 - 1
CSA
73%
18%
9%
|
46 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2015 |
CSA
0 - 0
ASA
29%
25%
47%
|
46 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
CSA
2 - 0
CEO
62%
20%
18%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
CEO
1 - 0
CSA
41%
28%
32%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
IPA
2 - 0
CSA
26%
29%
45%
|
48 | 32 | 16 | -2 |