AGF Aarhus vs Herfølge BK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.7%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
23.9%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AGF Aarhus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2003 |
FCK
4 - 0
AGF
69%
20%
11%
|
65 | 81 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2003 |
VFF
1 - 0
AGF
61%
22%
17%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2003 |
AGF
5 - 3
MID
41%
25%
34%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2003 |
BIF
2 - 0
AGF
74%
17%
9%
|
65 | 83 | 18 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2003 |
AGF
2 - 2
FCN
42%
24%
34%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Herfølge BK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2003 |
AAB
0 - 2
HER
58%
22%
20%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2003 |
HER
0 - 2
AKA
55%
23%
22%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2003 |
BKF
1 - 0
HER
55%
23%
21%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2003 |
HER
2 - 1
VFF
41%
24%
35%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2003 |
HER
0 - 1
MID
46%
25%
30%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | -1 |