RCO Agde vs Tarbes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.1%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.8%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
40.6%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
4
6º
12º
9º
7
1º
2º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
3º
|
7 | 48 |
1º
|
33.5% | |
|
1º
|
10 | 42 |
2º
|
17% | |
|
4º
|
7 | 42 |
3º
|
13.5% | |
|
6º
|
6 | 41 |
4º
|
10.5% | |
|
5º
|
6 | 41 |
5º
|
13% | |
|
2º
|
7 | 38 |
6º
|
10% | |
|
7º
|
5 | 37 |
7º
|
8% | |
|
11º
|
4 | 36 |
8º
|
12.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
4 | 36 |
9º
|
11.5% | |
|
9º
|
5 | 34 |
10º
|
7% | |
|
8º
|
5 | 31 |
11º
|
13% | |
|
14º
|
2 | 30 |
12º
|
15% | |
|
13º
|
2 | 25 |
13º
|
21% | |
|
10º
|
5 | 21 |
14º
|
48% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
3% | 33.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
73.5% | 66% |
|
Relegation
|
23.5% | 0.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
RCO Agde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2025 |
AGD
1 - 2
COL
45%
24%
31%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2025 |
ONE
2 - 0
AGD
33%
22%
45%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | -2 |
| 23 Aug. 2025 |
AGD
0 - 0
FCP
52%
23%
25%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2025 |
LUC
1 - 0
AGD
26%
23%
51%
|
40 | 29 | 11 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2025 |
AGD
3 - 2
COR
69%
18%
13%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Tarbes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2025 |
TAR
2 - 0
LES
55%
23%
22%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2025 |
COL
0 - 0
TAR
32%
22%
46%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2025 |
TAR
2 - 0
BLA
56%
24%
21%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 May. 2019 |
TAR
0 - 2
AVE
25%
23%
53%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | +17 |
| 18 May. 2019 |
OLY
2 - 0
TAR
77%
15%
8%
|
23 | 38 | 15 | 0 |