Afturelding vs Árborg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.1%
Win probability
2.58
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.2%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.3%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.5%
13.4%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Afturelding
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 2020 |
KEF
5 - 1
AFT
50%
23%
27%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2020 |
KFG
0 - 5
AFT
23%
20%
57%
|
51 | 39 | 12 | +1 |
| 06 Jun. 2020 |
VAT
0 - 12
AFT
8%
12%
80%
|
50 | 20 | 30 | +1 |
| 01 Jun. 2020 |
AFT
2 - 2
NJA
64%
19%
18%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2020 |
AFT
1 - 2
IAA
20%
21%
59%
|
51 | 67 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Árborg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 2020 |
ARB
4 - 0
HOR
73%
15%
12%
|
41 | 27 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2020 |
NJA
1 - 1
ARB
52%
22%
26%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Jun. 2020 |
ARB
0 - 0
AUG
48%
23%
29%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2019 |
BOR
4 - 3
ARB
49%
23%
28%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2019 |
ARB
4 - 2
SRI
81%
12%
7%
|
40 | 23 | 17 | +1 |