League Two . Jor. 10

AFC Wimbledon vs Northampton analysis

AFC Wimbledon Northampton
50 ELO 55
6.6% Tilt -7.5%
1787º General ELO ranking 1652º
65º Country ELO ranking 60º
ELO win probability
39%
AFC Wimbledon
25.6%
Draw
35.4%
Northampton

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39%
Win probability
AFC Wimbledon
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.6%
35.4%
Win probability
Northampton
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
AFC Wimbledon
-8%
-6%
Northampton

ELO progression

AFC Wimbledon
Northampton
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

AFC Wimbledon
AFC Wimbledon
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Sep. 2015
LUT
Luton Town
2 - 0
AFC Wimbledon
AFC
61%
22%
17%
51 57 6 0
19 Sep. 2015
AFC
AFC Wimbledon
2 - 1
Notts County
NOT
45%
25%
30%
51 52 1 0
12 Sep. 2015
YEO
Yeovil Town
1 - 1
AFC Wimbledon
AFC
42%
26%
32%
51 48 3 0
05 Sep. 2015
MAN
Mansfield Town
1 - 1
AFC Wimbledon
AFC
37%
27%
36%
51 47 4 0
01 Sep. 2015
AFC
AFC Wimbledon
2 - 3
Plymouth Argyle
PLY
41%
26%
33%
52 56 4 -1

Matches

Northampton
Northampton
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Sep. 2015
NOR
Northampton
1 - 1
Leyton Orient
LEY
38%
26%
36%
55 58 3 0
19 Sep. 2015
MOR
Morecambe
2 - 4
Northampton
NOR
48%
27%
26%
54 56 2 +1
12 Sep. 2015
NOR
Northampton
1 - 0
Oxford United
OXF
39%
28%
33%
53 58 5 +1
05 Sep. 2015
NOR
Northampton
1 - 2
Dagenham & Redbridge
DAG
53%
24%
24%
54 51 3 -1
01 Sep. 2015
NOR
Northampton
3 - 2
Colchester United
COL
43%
25%
32%
53 54 1 +1
X