AFC Wimbledon vs Gillingham analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.9%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.4%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
53.3%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.4%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AFC Wimbledon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2012 |
AFC
3 - 1
BRO
42%
25%
33%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
FLE
1 - 1
AFC
71%
18%
11%
|
47 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
AFC
1 - 2
CHE
32%
25%
43%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
PLY
1 - 2
AFC
57%
23%
20%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2012 |
OXF
3 - 2
AFC
53%
25%
23%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Gillingham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2012 |
GUL
2 - 1
GIL
33%
27%
41%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
GIL
4 - 1
BUR
64%
21%
15%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
GIL
4 - 0
ALD
66%
21%
14%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
OXF
0 - 0
GIL
25%
26%
49%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2012 |
NOR
1 - 2
GIL
33%
26%
42%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | +1 |