AFC Wimbledon vs Chesterfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.6%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.2%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.8%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
36.4%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AFC Wimbledon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2022 |
AFC
1 - 0
SUT
41%
24%
35%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
TRA
0 - 2
AFC
56%
25%
19%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2022 |
AFC
3 - 1
WEY
73%
17%
10%
|
53 | 35 | 18 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
SAL
0 - 0
AFC
55%
26%
20%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2022 |
AFC
2 - 0
LEY
24%
27%
49%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | +2 |
Matches
Chesterfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
CHE
2 - 0
SOL
51%
25%
24%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
GUL
1 - 5
CHE
29%
25%
47%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
CHE
1 - 0
NOR
30%
23%
47%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2022 |
CHE
2 - 1
GAT
58%
23%
20%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
CHE
2 - 0
BOR
48%
26%
27%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | +1 |