AFC Wimbledon vs Brentford analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.8%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.6%
1-0
4%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.3%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
62.7%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
18.8%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
4%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
11.7%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
5.8%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AFC Wimbledon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2017 |
SCU
1 - 1
AFC
59%
24%
17%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2017 |
ALD
1 - 1
AFC
36%
27%
38%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2017 |
WYC
2 - 0
AFC
40%
27%
34%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Jul. 2017 |
AFC
3 - 0
BUR
33%
25%
42%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 Jul. 2017 |
AFC
3 - 2
WAT
14%
21%
66%
|
55 | 77 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Brentford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2017 |
SHE
1 - 0
BRE
43%
25%
32%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2017 |
BRE
2 - 1
CEL
28%
25%
47%
|
69 | 85 | 16 | -1 |
| 25 Jul. 2017 |
MKD
2 - 3
BRE
23%
21%
56%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2017 |
BRE
2 - 2
SOU
33%
27%
40%
|
69 | 83 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2017 |
OXF
3 - 4
BRE
36%
24%
41%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |