AFC Telford United vs Ilkeston Town FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.6%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.5%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
17.7%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+79%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AFC Telford United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2005 |
AFC
3 - 2
PRE
64%
21%
16%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2005 |
AFC
1 - 0
LEE
65%
20%
16%
|
42 | 32 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2005 |
AFC
2 - 3
WAK
61%
21%
18%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2005 |
MAR
1 - 1
AFC
41%
25%
34%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2005 |
AFC
1 - 3
FRI
60%
22%
18%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | -2 |
Matches
Ilkeston Town FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2005 |
ILK
0 - 1
GUI
47%
25%
28%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2005 |
ILK
3 - 1
RAD
56%
23%
22%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2005 |
ILK
0 - 2
PRE
61%
21%
18%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2005 |
ASH
2 - 2
ILK
43%
25%
32%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2005 |
ILK
2 - 0
WAK
44%
25%
31%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | +1 |