AFC Sudbury vs Aveley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.6%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
8%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
24.1%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AFC Sudbury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2007 |
WHI
0 - 3
YEL
23%
23%
54%
|
36 | 20 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2007 |
POT
0 - 1
YEL
45%
24%
31%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2007 |
WIN
3 - 0
YEL
39%
25%
36%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2007 |
YEL
1 - 1
WAL
54%
22%
24%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2007 |
YEL
6 - 3
ILF
76%
15%
8%
|
37 | 20 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Aveley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2007 |
AVE
1 - 0
ILF
63%
21%
16%
|
35 | 22 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2007 |
WAL
3 - 3
AVE
27%
24%
49%
|
35 | 23 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2006 |
HOR
5 - 0
AVE
71%
18%
12%
|
36 | 48 | 12 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 2006 |
AVE
1 - 0
TIL
66%
20%
14%
|
36 | 20 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2006 |
WHI
0 - 1
AVE
23%
23%
54%
|
35 | 20 | 15 | +1 |