AFC Bournemouth vs Southend United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.5%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.3%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.2%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
45.8%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.9%
0-3
4%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AFC Bournemouth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2006 |
BOU
2 - 1
CHE
39%
28%
33%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2006 |
LEY
3 - 2
BOU
55%
25%
21%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2006 |
YEO
0 - 0
BOU
56%
24%
20%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2006 |
BOU
0 - 3
CHE
57%
24%
19%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2006 |
BOU
2 - 2
BRE
33%
27%
40%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Southend United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2006 |
SOU
3 - 1
SUN
36%
29%
35%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2006 |
QPR
2 - 0
SOU
38%
27%
35%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 2006 |
CRY
3 - 1
SOU
61%
23%
16%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2006 |
SOU
1 - 0
STO
47%
27%
26%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2006 |
SOU
1 - 0
BRI
47%
26%
27%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |