AFC Bournemouth vs Morecambe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.9%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
18.5%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AFC Bournemouth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2008 |
GRI
3 - 3
BOU
29%
27%
45%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2008 |
STA
3 - 0
BOU
29%
26%
45%
|
60 | 47 | 13 | -2 |
| 08 Nov. 2008 |
BOU
1 - 0
BRO
46%
25%
29%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2008 |
BOU
0 - 1
COL
41%
24%
35%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2008 |
BOU
1 - 1
CHE
53%
25%
23%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Morecambe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2008 |
MOR
1 - 1
EXE
31%
26%
43%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2008 |
CHE
1 - 2
MOR
33%
28%
40%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2008 |
MOR
2 - 1
GRI
55%
23%
23%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2008 |
TRA
1 - 0
MOR
59%
22%
19%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2008 |
MOR
2 - 0
ALD
32%
26%
42%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | +1 |