AFC Bournemouth vs Carlisle United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.4%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.7%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.3%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
28%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28%
35.6%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AFC Bournemouth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2007 |
SWI
4 - 1
BOU
56%
25%
20%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2007 |
BOU
1 - 1
NOR
39%
28%
33%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2007 |
LEY
1 - 0
BOU
57%
24%
19%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2007 |
BOU
2 - 0
WAL
44%
26%
30%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2007 |
BOU
0 - 1
POR
45%
27%
29%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Carlisle United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2007 |
CUM
1 - 1
BRO
43%
27%
30%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2007 |
SWA
2 - 1
CUM
59%
24%
17%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2007 |
CUM
0 - 1
TRA
55%
25%
21%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2007 |
CUM
1 - 0
CHE
56%
24%
20%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2007 |
CUM
0 - 2
COV
40%
25%
36%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | -1 |