League Two Round 27

AFC Bournemouth vs Bury analysis

AFC Bournemouth Bury
61 ELO 61
-11.4% Tilt 1.2%
72º General ELO ranking 3441º
11º Country ELO ranking 90º
ELO win probability
48.7%
AFC Bournemouth
26.9%
Draw
24.4%
Bury

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.7%
Win probability
AFC Bournemouth
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.9%
24.4%
Win probability
Bury
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

AFC Bournemouth
Bury
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

AFC Bournemouth
AFC Bournemouth
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Jan. 2010
BOU
AFC Bournemouth
0 - 2
Northampton
NOR
54%
25%
21%
63 57 6 0
28 Dec. 2009
BOU
AFC Bournemouth
2 - 1
Torquay United
GUL
43%
27%
30%
62 61 1 +1
26 Dec. 2009
CHE
Cheltenham Town
0 - 1
AFC Bournemouth
BOU
30%
26%
44%
62 50 12 0
12 Dec. 2009
MOR
Morecambe
5 - 0
AFC Bournemouth
BOU
41%
26%
33%
63 60 3 -1
05 Dec. 2009
BOU
AFC Bournemouth
1 - 0
Shrewsbury Town
STF
49%
26%
25%
63 60 3 0

Matches

Bury
Bury
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Jan. 2010
GRI
Grimsby Town
1 - 1
Bury
BCF
32%
28%
41%
60 49 11 0
28 Dec. 2009
STA
Accrington Stanley
2 - 4
Bury
BCF
57%
24%
20%
59 61 2 +1
12 Dec. 2009
DAG
Dagenham & Redbridge
3 - 1
Bury
BCF
55%
24%
21%
60 60 0 -1
05 Dec. 2009
BCF
Bury
2 - 0
Barnet
BAR
50%
25%
25%
59 58 1 +1
01 Dec. 2009
MOR
Morecambe
3 - 0
Bury
BCF
45%
27%
28%
60 58 2 -1